August 21st, 2020

We published an article yesterday stating our concerns about the soaring price of Tesla and how we feel its grossly overvalued. We cited a few metrics to support our case, and on the day we published the article the stock price of TSLA jumped another 7.5%. (Obviously we need to increase our readership and spread the word!) Here are a few more stats that caught our eye:

  • Tesla is now worth more than Wal Mart.

Walmart and Tesla Market Cap

  • Walmart’s financials dwarf those of Tesla
  2019 Revenue 2019 Net Income
Walmart $514bn $22bn
Tesla $24.5bn $368m
  • On May 1st, Tesla CEO Elon Musk tweeted the following when Tesla was trading at $760/share:

“Tesla stock price is too high imo”

Tesla’s stock price is currently trading close to $2,085 at the time of this post.

  • Tesla’s market cap has increased over 800% in the last year

Tesla’s sales are up 3% over the same period

  • Initially, we thought the rise in Tesla was due to small investors engaging in bad behavior and chasing returns. There’s an ocean of studies and research confirming the tendency for smaller and typically less experienced investors to jump on the bandwagon late, the most recent example being Robin Hood investors piling into bankrupt Hertz stock. However, the Tesla run up appears to be due to institutional investors pouring in money. Tsk tsk – they should know better!

Volume of Tesla Purchases

The orange and blue lines show trade volume. Investors buying Tesla 10,000 shares or more at a time is rising. Investors buying in smaller lots, i.e. your average investor, is decreasing. We’re waiting on the plot chart in the next few months showing fund manager turnover against a plummeting Tesla share price. What will they do when the music stops???


REGULATORY DISCLOSURE

Carmichael Hill & Associates, Inc. is a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Registered Investment Advisory firm. Registration does not imply that the SEC has endorsed or approved the qualifications of Carmichael Hill or its respective representatives to provide any advisory services. Advisor does not render or offer to render personalized investment advice or financial planning advice through this medium. Advice can only be given after:

  1. Delivery of a disclosure statement by advisor to client.
  2. Execution of our Investment Advisory Agreement between the client and the advisor.
  3. Initial payment of the planning fee or investment advisory fee by the client to the advisor.
  4. Advisor will not solicit or accept business in any state in which she or he is not properly registered or otherwise qualified to conduct business by virtue of a state “de minimis” exemption.
DISCLAIMERS

The information in this web site is based on data gathered from what the Advisor believes are reliable sources. It is not guaranteed as to accuracy, and does not purport to be complete and is not intended as the primary basis for investment decisions. It should also not be construed as advice meeting the particular investment needs of any investor. The identification of specific funds and model portfolios is being made on the assumption that the investor would participate in that investment or portfolio on a long-term basis and only after consulting with their investment advisor to determine their needs and tolerance for risk. With respect to any such identification, there can be no assurance that the fund or model portfolio will in fact perform in the manner suggested.

The results do not represent actual trading due to the timing of the clients’ trades and their trading costs. They may also not reflect the impact that material economic and market factors might have had on the advisor’s decision making if the advisor were managing the clients’ money. Investment and portfolio results may be different than the results the advisor’s discretionary clients achieve due to the timing of trades and the market conditions.

All references that might be made to an investment or portfolio’s performance are based on historical data and one should not assume that this performance will continue in the future.

LINKS DISCLAIMER

At certain places on this Carmichael Hill & Associates, Inc. Internet site, live ‘‘links’ to other Internet addresses can be accessed. Such external Internet addresses contain information created, published, maintained, or otherwise posted by institutions or organizations independent of Carmichael Hill & Associates, Inc. CHA does not certify, endorse or control these external Internet addresses and does not guarantee or assume responsibility for the accuracy completeness, efficacy, timeliness, or correct sequencing of information located at such addresses. Use of any information obtained from such addresses is voluntary.